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Ali Rais Shaghaghi

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About Me

In my doctoral research with supervision of Prof. Sheri Markose in the field of Computational Finance at CCFEA I developed systemic risk management methods based on financial network analytics. Such systems need new modelling tools to produce holistic visualization of macro-monetary systems for which large scale Multi-agent Financial Network Models were developed.  This has involved use of understanding of financial derivatives markets, advanced data analyses, network theory, statistical analyses, computational intelligent and development of simulation applications.

I have aslo been invloved in a two year joint project with BT Group on developing novel algorithms for optimisation of fiber optic networks .Prior to this I was a Marie Curie Research Fellow for COMISEF (Computational Optimisation Method in Statistics, Economics and Finance) project. In this project I modelled the structure of US CDS markets in regards to systemic risk effect s.

Academic CV

Research

My research interests are mainly based on utilising computational models to predict and simulate economic and financial systems.

The 2007 financial crisis has shown that economists have been behind the curve in regard to mapping, modelling and monitoring the highly interconnected and global financial system. Failure of financial institutions has led to fears of system failure from domino effects of one failed entity bringing down others. This has given rise to concepts such as financial contagion and too interconnected to fail. The latter was cited when there were tax payer bailouts of large financial intermediaries (FIs). My thesis has adopted network models to analyse the structure and stability of financial markets. Systemic risk from financial contagion is analysed on the basis of network stability measured by the maximum eigenvalue of the network of bilateral financial obligations between FIs and the corresponding eigenvector centrality of the FI is a measure of its contribution to network instability. Results of my research have been published in several papers and at the moment I am in the process of publishing couple of other papers.

Other aspect of my research is relevent to applications of computaional methods in optimisation problems.

Research interests: Agent-Based Computational Economics, Financial Modeling, Computational Intelligence in Economics and Finance, Algorithmic Trading, Digital Modeling of Financial Contagion, Evolutionary Computation.

Publications >>

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Publications

 

Sheri Markose, Simone Giansante, Ali Rais Shaghaghi, "Too interconnected to fail nancial net- work of US CDS market: Topological fragility and systemic risk", Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, ISSN 0167-2681, 10.1016/j.jebo.2012.05.016.

Markose, S., Rais Shaghaghi, A., Giansante, S., "A Network Analysis of Financial Contagion and the Eigen-Pair Approach in the Management of Systemic Risk and Design of Super-Spreader Tax : Too Interconnected to Fail Financial Intermediaries in Global Financial Derivatives" (Working Paper)

Rais Shaghaghi, A., Markose, S., "Multi-Layer Systemic Risk Analysis of Financial Derivatives Mar-
kets: Generalisation of Eigenvector Centrality"
Economics Department and CCFEA mimeo, Univer-
sity of Essex

Rais Shaghaghi, A., Markose, S., "Empirical Calibration of Global Financial Derivatives Network:
Genetic Algorithm for Multi-Objective Optimization of Data based Constraints
", Economics Depart-
ment and CCFEA mimeo, University of Essex


Rais Shaghaghi, A., Glover, T., Kampouridis, M., Tsang, E., "Guided Local Search for Optimal
GPON/FTTH Network Design
",Proceedings of the Fourth International Conference on Networks &
Communications Series: Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, Vol. 131, (2012)


Kampouridis, M., Glover, T., Rais Shaghaghi, A., Tsang, E., "Using a Genetic Algorithm as a
Decision Support Tool for the Deployment of Fiber Optic Networks
", Proceedings of the IEEE
World Congress on Computational Intelligence (WCCI) 2012, Brisbane, Australia (2012)

Kampouridis, M., Glover, T., Rais Shaghaghi, A., Tsang, E., "Deciding the optimal roll-out plan
for the deployment of ber optic networks
", Engineering Optimization(under review)

Contact

Email: araiss, non essex users should add @essex.ac.uk

Centre for Computational Finance and Economic Agents (CCFEA)

University of Essex

CO4 3SQ United Kingdom